عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسنده [English]چکیده [English]
Aims: The main purpose of this research is to identify the effective factors of rural tourism and to assess their extent and their impact on the future status of sustainable rural tourism development in the study area which can guide the formulation of executive strategies, policies and programs. Planning and realizing the future of viability for the villages of this province.
Method: The type of applied research and methodology used in library and field research (questionnaire and interview) with experts were collected within the Delphi model. The statistical population of this study was 40 experts from the University Cultural Heritage and professors. MICMAC and Morphol software were used for data analysis.
Results: The results showed that with two replications of data rotation, the obtained filling index was 89/94, which indicates the high coefficient of influence of the variables and selected factors on each other. Also, out of 921 calculated values, 317 cases with the highest volume had the most direct effect on the other indicators.
Conclusion: The results of this study showed that the first scenario with 50.12 inertia was identified as the most probable and most resistant scenario to possible change (positive and negative).