Analysis of the Impact of Marginalization Indicators on Urban Poverty: (Case Study: Marginal Settlements in Mashhad)

Document Type : Research

Authors

Hasan Aama Bandeh Gharaei ¹

Javad Taherizadeh Anaripour ²

Ahmad Lotfi ²

¹ Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran

² Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

https://doi.org/10.22067/jgrd.2024.84545.1333

Abstract

Today, urbanization is growing at a faster rate in developing countries than in developed nations. The rapid expansion of urban populations and extensive migration to cities, particularly in developing regions, presents myriads of challenges to urban planning and the provision of social welfare. Among these challenges, marginalization (informal settlements) has emerged as a major consequence of this accelerated growth, producing a multitude of economic and social problems that demand serious attention from authorities and policymakers. In Iran, following the 1979 Revolution and the subsequent eight-year Iran-Iraq war, structural changes in the country prompted unbridled urban sprawl and marginalization, which influenced the socioeconomic conditions of people in these informal settlements. This phenomenon has profoundly impacted the economy and social fabric of individuals residing in these areas. The objective of this research is to analyze the effect of informal settlement on urban poverty within the informal settlement of Mashhad. This is an applied study with a descriptive-analytical design and data are gathered through both library research and field surveys (questionnaires). The statistical population of this study comprises all citizens, of whom a sample of n= 196 was determined by Cochran’s formula to fill out the questionnaires that were randomly distributed in the informal settlement of Mashhad. Descriptive and inferential statistics (correlation and multiple regression analysis), and the VIKOR method were used for data analysis. The results suggest that the economic indicator is among the most fundamental factors cited by residents of informal settlements. Furthermore, the findings exhibit a strong correlation between indicators of poverty and informal settlement. The intensity of this relationship varies across different indicators: economic (0.845), social (0.821), environmental (0.562), and physical/spatial (0.689). Additionally, the regression model fit shows that marginalization indicators explain 0.726 of the variance in the dependent variable (growing poverty) within the informal settlements of Mashhad.
 
 

Keywords

Informal Settlements

Urban Poverty

Economic

Social

and Physical Indicators

Prediction

Informal Settlement of Mashhad

Subjects

• Planning in urban and rural areas

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