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  • The Journal of Geography and Regional Development is published quarterly by the Ferdowsi University of Mashhad. The... moreedit
  • Dr. Hamid Shayan, Dr. Reza Doostanedit
The main purpose of this study was to compile scenarios for the water crisis in Taibad city. A descriptive-analytical method was used for this study. Seventy-one indicators formulated in the form of 3 main components (management,... more
The main purpose of this study was to compile scenarios for the water crisis in Taibad city. A descriptive-analytical method was used for this study. Seventy-one indicators formulated in the form of 3 main components (management, economic-technical, and geographical-natural components) using library studies and interviews with experts. MICMAC and Scenario Wizard were used for data analysis. The results showed that the key drivers that impact on the water crisis in Taibad city are excessive consumption of water resources in the agricultural sector, inefficient management of water resources, attempts at inappropriate development (measures aimed at unsustainable development), excessive withdrawal from underground aquifers, lack of attention to the water crisis in development plans, and climate change. In line with the key drivers and possible situations, the output of the scenario wizard software in the form of five strong and probable scenarios showed that out of the 18 situations governing the scenario page, the situations that describe the water crisis scenarios in Taibad city as critical are the most possible situations, taking 38.88% of the situations governing the scenario page. Using the results of the research, three groups of scenarios were formulated: The most likely scenario (critical scenario), the scenario with slow changes (continuation of the current trend), and the weakest scenario (ideal scenario). Therefore, the situation facing the water crisis in Taibad city is critical. Forecasting the future of developments related to the water crisis from the point of view of futures research requires addressing governmental management and economic policies and national-local agents in the optimal management of water resources and controlling the repercussions of the crisis.
This study tried to explore the foreign policy of Turkey in the South Caucasus and its impact on the country's sphere of influence in the region. When the Justice and Development Party dominated in the country in 2002, Ankara's... more
This study tried to explore the foreign policy of Turkey in the South Caucasus and its impact on the country's sphere of influence in the region. When the Justice and Development Party dominated in the country in 2002, Ankara's one-dimensional and Western-oriented foreign policy was
This study aimed to design a sustainable social development model considering social barriers in Bashagard County. Mixed method was used for conducting this study. The population of Bashagard in urban and rural areas was considered and... more
This study aimed to design a sustainable social development model considering social barriers in Bashagard County. Mixed method was used for conducting this study. The population of Bashagard in urban and rural areas was considered and Morgan’s table was applied to determine the size of the sample. Considering the unlimited statistical population, the maximum number of the sample size, that is, 384 people were selected. In the qualitative phase, 20 professors and 10 experts in urban and social sustainability development in universities, and 10 experts from cultural heritage organization were interviewed. The data collected by the questionnaires were analyzed using SPSS and LISREL (descriptive statistics and inferential statistics). A mix of statistical techniques and descriptive indicators were applied to analyze the data and rank Bashagard in terms of possessing facilities and services. Then, structural equation modeling (SEM) was used to design a sustainable development model. Excel and SPSS were used for data analysis, and LISREL software was used for structural equations and the model made by this study. The standard deviation of results showed that the dispersion of responses to research items is higher than average (0.050). The t-test results showed that the t value (8.09) is higher than the standardized t value (1.96), being in H1 zone. It can be stated that the research hypothesis is confirmed at a significance of 95%, meaning that social factors have impacted the underdevelopment of Bashagard County.
The main purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of the tourist destination image on the perceived risk and the behavioral intention of domestic tourists to revisit Maranjab desert. The data was collected through a... more
The main purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of the tourist destination image on the perceived risk and the behavioral intention of domestic tourists to revisit Maranjab desert. The data was collected through a questionnaire. The sample size, calculated by Sample Power software from among the domestic tourists (within the Maranjab desert territory) in the autumn and winter seasons, was 176 participants. For data analysis, the structural equation modeling in AMOS software and F test in SPSS software were used. The findings revealed that given the F test, the image inferred in different dimensions is effective in revisiting Maranjab desert. Based on the structural equation modeling, the security and health risks with a fit of 0.83 represented the most important risk factor affecting the interest in returning and revisiting the destination. This is caused by the water shortage, lack of proper sanitary facilities (toilets), the condition of sand dunes, the lack of control over desert and sand climbing vehicles, and dangerous driving which have led to the death of many people on the roads. This study proved that tourism destination image (TDI) positively and significantly affects visit intention through tourism risk perception (TRP). Hence, it is recommended that tourism destination managers pay due attention to the risk factors perceived by potential tourists. It is also recommended that the future research focus on examining the factors that are not controlled by tourism destination managers, i.e., the governmental policies concerning the management of tourism destinations in the new era.
One of the inevitable consequences of the ever-increasing growth of the world's population is the expansion of urbanization. So, it is very important to provide a vision of the spatial development of cities with the aim of understanding... more
One of the inevitable consequences of the ever-increasing growth of the world's population is the expansion of urbanization. So, it is very important to provide a vision of the spatial development of cities with the aim of understanding the correct pattern of city growth and providing the necessary infrastructure. Since Qom metropolis faced urban growth and has recorded 95% urbanization, this research focused on the spatial development of urban lands around this metropolis. First, the land use/cover and the urban growth merit maps were produced. Land use/ land cover maps of the region for the years 2000, 2010 and 2020 were produced using the random forest method in the Google Earth Engine, and the urban growth merit map for the years 2000 and 2010 was produced using MCDM analyses based on GIS. Finally, based on the ANN-CA-Markov and SVM-CA-Markov algorithms, 2020's land use/cover maps were simulated. The validation of the models showed that the SVM-CA-Markov algorithm with the ROC (0.96) was more accurate and was chosen as the optimal algorithm for modeling the horizon of 2040. The
evapotranspiration rate in the final product growth period on 2022/7/19, with a numerical value of 7.41 mm per day. Finally, based on the comparisons made between the studied methods in the early and late periods of growth in terms of... more
evapotranspiration rate in the final product growth period on 2022/7/19, with a numerical value of 7.41 mm per day. Finally, based on the comparisons made between the studied methods in the early and late periods of growth in terms of square-mean error, mean absolute deviation, and coefficient of determination, it can be concluded that the SEBAL method compared to the Penman-Monteith method has an acceptable error rate (RMSE of 0.717, MAD of 0.658, and the coefficient of determination of 0.84 mm per day).
The increasing expansion of cities which is affected by population growth and migration, has led to unplanned constructions and many changes in the spatial structure and physical development of cities. One of the major problems in urban... more
The increasing expansion of cities which is affected by population growth and migration, has led to unplanned constructions and many changes in the spatial structure and physical development of cities. One of the major problems in urban planning due to the population growth and the lack of infrastructure facilities is determining the appropriate space for the physical development to satisfy the current needs and anticipate future needs. Therefore, it is very important to pay attention to the population as the main driver of changes in the future of the city. Considering the issue, this research tried to investigate the state of development and physical growth of Tabriz, considering the population of the city and the obstacles to its growth. To collect data, satellite images of Tabriz and document-library studies were used. For data analysis, 2016 Tabriz master plan and land use map (extracted for 1996 to 2022), as well as GIS, ENVI and TERRSET software were used. The ICM method was applied to predict urban growth. The findings showed that the direction of development of Tabriz is strongly affected by natural and human factors and will change the direction of development in the future. By examining the final map, the direction of development is determined. The future development of Tabriz will be towards the north and northwest. Finally, by predicting the population of Tabriz, its growth rate was adapted to the predicted population. At the end, some solutions were suggested to improve the current situation, which require the serious attention of managers and planners of this city.
The theories of urban planning in the 20th century were mainly physical-oriented and failed due to the lack of public participation. In response to this issue, the concept of citizen participation in public decision-making was introduced... more
The theories of urban planning in the 20th century were mainly physical-oriented and failed due to the lack of public participation. In response to this issue, the concept of citizen participation in public decision-making was introduced by planners. This research was conducted with the aim of investigating the role of communication planning in realizing the participation of local communities in Moradabad neighborhood of Chabahar. The data of this descriptive-analytical research were collected using library-documentary methods and field studies (questionnaire and interview). The statistical population of this research consists of the residents of Moradabad neighborhood. The participants were selected using Cochran's formula to complete the 5-point Likert scale questionnaire. In order to analyze the data, one-sample t-test and Pearson's correlation coefficient were used (applying SPSS and ArcGIS software to generate the map). The results of the social participation indicators for the social trust indicator recorded an average of 3.15 (higher than the mean), and the average of effort participation indicator was 3.35, the average of social connection was 3.2, the average of social belonging was 4.1 for the significance level of less than 0.05. The results show that the participation of people and residents in transforming the neighborhood into more livable conditions has had a significant impact. Therefore, since the total of the scales was at a significance level of less than 0.05 and the total average value was 3.43, the final result of this research show a significant relationship between communication planning and social participation in Moradabad neighborhood of Chabahar.
Tourism is among the most significant means for doing social and economic changes in developing countries. The development of tourism is so important for those developing countries grappling with high unemployment rates, limited foreign... more
Tourism is among the most significant means for doing social and economic changes in developing countries. The development of tourism is so important for those developing countries grappling with high unemployment rates, limited foreign exchange reserves, and a mono-product economy. The climate and geological diversity of Damghan along with being posited along Iran’s primary commercial route have created a significant opportunity for its development. This research was carried out using a descriptive-analytical method. The Brilha method was used to evaluate the geotourism potential of the region. The Brilha model evaluates the geotourism significance of a given region considering their scientific capacity, educational tourism potential, and destructibility risk. The results showed that in terms of scientific capacity, the layers with Trilobite and Cheshmeh Ali have the highest rank with scores of 170 and 250, respectively. In terms of educational tourism potentials, the Astaneh fault and Cheshmeh Ali rank at the top with 295 and 325 scores, respectively. Regarding their degradability risk, the layers with Trilobite and Somayeh Kouh are randed the highest with a score of 320. The results showed that despite the considerable capacity of the studied region as a tourism attraction site and in terms of geo-tourism, only the Cheshmeh Ali geosite is good to tourists. Other geosites have not been welcomed due to being relatively unknown, insufficient marketing, mismanagement, or lack of infrastructure. Therefore, the development of the region as an attraction site depends on careful planning and investment.
The main purpose of this study was examining the ways of making assets productive in suburban areas with the facilitation of municipalities that are responsible for city administration. So, the implications of empowerment, microcredit,... more
The main purpose of this study was examining the ways of making assets productive in suburban areas with the facilitation of municipalities that are responsible for city administration. So, the implications of empowerment, microcredit, tenure security and formalization of assets were studied in Farahzad neiborhood as a case study. The data were collected using a questionnaire and analyzed using SPSS and SWOT analysis to develop strategies, policies, and executive actions. The findings showed that informal settlements, low skills, and informal employment are the main obstacles of making residents’ assets productive in suburban areas. Therefore, the following solutions are suggested: 99-year endowment of land; The development of various businesses with the priority of restaurants and entertainment centers, considering that there are suitable conditions for tourism in the neighborhood; Creating sales support markets due to the existence of urban land for the development and support of professional businesses; Using the potential of charitable institutions, NGOs, and local institutions for training jobs, forming job cooperatives; Building trust and raising awareness about micro-lending processes; Renting on the condition of acquiring business equipment to remove the threat of misuse of microloans. The necessity of the role of the municipalities as facilitating institutions is that on the one hand this institution lacks enough financial ability for maximum intervention, and on the other hand, new approaches see top-down intervention of public institutions as incorrect solution and the socio-economic participation of the residents necessary for the regeneration and empowerment.
An important part of the economic activities of the village is home businesses. Entrepreneurship in this field of home businesses and the use of natural and man-made capacities depend on the provision of drivers. This research was... more
An important part of the economic activities of the village is home businesses. Entrepreneurship in this field of home businesses and the use of natural and man-made capacities depend on the provision of drivers. This research was conducted in order to study the human drivers of home business entrepreneurship and their impact on sustainable development in the villages of Jarqouye Vosta. The data collection method of this descriptive-analytical study was documentary-survey methods. WASPAS technique showed that different dimensions of human motivation in Peikan village (Qi = 0.11 in this village) had the greatest impact on the process of entrepreneurship development in the field of home businesses. Based on the indicators of diversification of local employment, diversification of household income, resource management, risk tolerance, creativity and foresight, and with the help of the CODAS technique, the impacts of entrepreneurship on the development of sustainable rural home businesses were measured. The results showed that the impact of entrepreneurship on the development of rural home businesses in Habib Abad and Peikan villages was more than the impact on other villages of the Jarqouye Vosta. Finally, by using ARAS technique, the level of sustainability of the villages of Jarqouye Vosta was measured regarding environmental, economic, social and institutional dimensions. The Ki measure showed Habib Abad and
attractions (about 100,000 links) were explored and analyzed based on a seven indicators of Alexa analytical tool. The results of comparing the total of selected domestic sites with the selected foreign sites showed that the Vatican site,... more
attractions (about 100,000 links) were explored and analyzed based on a seven indicators of Alexa analytical tool. The results of comparing the total of selected domestic sites with the selected foreign sites showed that the Vatican site, with 37,719 links, has the highest rank in terms of the number of links, and the site of holy shrine of Imam Reza has the highest average visit time (8:56 minutes). In addition to the low ranks of domestic sites among the studied sites, the share of governmental stakeholders in the tourism sector is about three percent in information dissemination.
Research Interests:
Research Interests:
Research Interests: